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Dec 19, 2012
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italy, oh, my, what happens when italy -- it turns out you had to take it down. i know that john corzine, very controversial figure. that's a code word. but what a trade they almost had. in the news again today. >> almost. >> horseshoes, hand grenades. >> we should point out, gm was certainly not having the easiest of times of it. this morning's stock is up sharply, we're telling you why. the company will buy back at a premium to at least what was the market price as of yesterday, 200 million shares from the government at $27.50. that having the effect of sending the stock above that. why not, if you're gm, you've got all this cash sitting on your balance sheet. you're earning virtually nothing on it, why not take the opportunity, even at a premium, to buy it back by as much as 11%, shrinking the cap by that much. we heard from tim massad who runs t.a.r.p., they'll be dribbling out the shares over time. the next 12 to 15 months. similar to the strategy employed with citi. a bit of it coming out. and finally they cleaned it up with a few big blocks. >> that was ve
italy, oh, my, what happens when italy -- it turns out you had to take it down. i know that john corzine, very controversial figure. that's a code word. but what a trade they almost had. in the news again today. >> almost. >> horseshoes, hand grenades. >> we should point out, gm was certainly not having the easiest of times of it. this morning's stock is up sharply, we're telling you why. the company will buy back at a premium to at least what was the market price as of...
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Dec 21, 2012
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we are seeing a 1% loss in italy, germany is down by .9%. >> of course, futures as you saw are taking a hit on concerns that a deal will not be reached to avert that fiscal cliff. an attempt by house speaker boehner to avoid that class and pass the so-called plan b tax bill. that failed. the measure that would have kept current tax rates for those making less than $1 million a year. it never even made it to the house floor. speaker boehner is scheduled to hold a news conference about an hour from now. of course, we'll bring that to you live. >> here we are. >> here we are once again. >> there was no real plan b. there was no real possibility of this. the republicans, the vast majority signed a pledge, they will not vote for tax increase. who would think they would suddenly turn around and vote for a tax increase. they pledged not to. >> the speaker said they might. >> i don't care. >> unless it's some sort of a plan to show how he's really -- you know, you've got to negotiate harder. because look what i'm dealing with. >> these guys -- do you suddenly think they're saying, all of a su
we are seeing a 1% loss in italy, germany is down by .9%. >> of course, futures as you saw are taking a hit on concerns that a deal will not be reached to avert that fiscal cliff. an attempt by house speaker boehner to avoid that class and pass the so-called plan b tax bill. that failed. the measure that would have kept current tax rates for those making less than $1 million a year. it never even made it to the house floor. speaker boehner is scheduled to hold a news conference about an...
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Dec 10, 2012
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silvio berlusconi is not going to end up running italy. i think perhaps a bigger issue at this stage, and this is from deutsche bank whether the virtual intervention we've had, the ecb saying we will intervene if we have to, may now be wearing a little bit thin. there is a knee-jerk reaction. the italian banks, they're all down. they're clogging up the bottom of the stock 600 in europe. so the banks have fallen. some of the industrials have also been marked lower in italy. today for example you could see with alitalia, and telecom italia is also lower. you see a spike higher in italian yield. you'll see the headlines, and they'll be raging about it. bear in mind where we actually are on this quite high yield relative to where we've been. let's get some perspective on what has happened. what i think is more interesting is the fact that it's moved over to spain. do you remember when we had that bad auction. the spanish didn't get as much debt away last tuesday and that really spooked the markets, potentially we're reaching a point at which t
silvio berlusconi is not going to end up running italy. i think perhaps a bigger issue at this stage, and this is from deutsche bank whether the virtual intervention we've had, the ecb saying we will intervene if we have to, may now be wearing a little bit thin. there is a knee-jerk reaction. the italian banks, they're all down. they're clogging up the bottom of the stock 600 in europe. so the banks have fallen. some of the industrials have also been marked lower in italy. today for example you...
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Dec 14, 2012
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i think once we get to the spring you'll see a lot more protests in greece and spain and italy. also i think if you look at the real numbers, rick, the real numbers are not as europe gives them to us. i mean, the real debt ratio, if you count it like ge or ibm and greece, is 450%. it's about 260% for italy and it's about 230% for spain and all of these things that aren't counted are going to come to roost over a period of time. so i think we're in a lull right now. i think mostly because of draghi and his comments that we're going to give money forever and save the world that i think as we head into the new year that's going to come to a conclusion. >> last question, we're running short of time. if you had an extra thousand dollars to invest right now, in something simple, in any country in the globe, where would you put it and what would it be? would it be fixed income, equities? >> fixed income, as long as you can go. investment grade. there is going to be tremendous compression. and i think that's the place to be. >> i'm in agreement with you. carl, melissa, back to you. >> t
i think once we get to the spring you'll see a lot more protests in greece and spain and italy. also i think if you look at the real numbers, rick, the real numbers are not as europe gives them to us. i mean, the real debt ratio, if you count it like ge or ibm and greece, is 450%. it's about 260% for italy and it's about 230% for spain and all of these things that aren't counted are going to come to roost over a period of time. so i think we're in a lull right now. i think mostly because of...
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Dec 28, 2012
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for example italy managed to auction some debt today, the longer end of the market. and there was no great move. can we have a look at that? there was no great move of the ten-year yield as a result. maybe we'll come back in a moment. let's just focus on the close out. >> the european markets are closing now. >> it is negative territory as you can see. the fiscal cliff of course plays a part in that taking some of those -- in many senses you could call it profit taking -- not in the case of spain where you see a major underperformance. >> let me say the german finance minister suggested he thought the worst of the eurozone crisis is now past. he said the government in athens knows it cannot financially over burden the rest of the eurozone countries and is acting as it should. he was optimistic on france as well despite the fact the data is indicating we'll still get a contraction in the third quarter, for most of the eurozone. germany's economic position is arguably deteriorating but still schauble there is relatively optimistic that the crisis is over. in the meanti
for example italy managed to auction some debt today, the longer end of the market. and there was no great move. can we have a look at that? there was no great move of the ten-year yield as a result. maybe we'll come back in a moment. let's just focus on the close out. >> the european markets are closing now. >> it is negative territory as you can see. the fiscal cliff of course plays a part in that taking some of those -- in many senses you could call it profit taking -- not in the...
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Dec 7, 2012
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one is greece, one is italy. the developments today are both good from an american investing perspective because they keep a lid on what's happening in those two respects. in greece there was trouble on the streets of athens last night as a result of left-wing protesters and students out and police using tear gas to disperse them as they protested the death of a teenager as a result of a police shooting four years ago, but the more important thing from a market perspective is that in 30 minutes' time now, the book will close on the greek debt buyback. now, remember what's happening here. the greek government is borrowing 10 billion euros from the rest of europe to buy back its own debt at a discount. if it does that successfully, by midday our time when that book closes, then more cash will flow through from the rest of europe, possibly next week it will be able to repay its bills and capitalize on the banks. let's check the close. >> the european markets are closing now. >> so we kind of went nowhere today. a lo
one is greece, one is italy. the developments today are both good from an american investing perspective because they keep a lid on what's happening in those two respects. in greece there was trouble on the streets of athens last night as a result of left-wing protesters and students out and police using tear gas to disperse them as they protested the death of a teenager as a result of a police shooting four years ago, but the more important thing from a market perspective is that in 30...
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Dec 12, 2012
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italy? >> the good old days. spain was borrowing at 7%. >> germany went to the five-year high. we could have that, too. unlike them, our economy is not in tatters. they go five-year high on tatters. audi, good car. >> yes. good car. >> meantime, shares of costco this morning up in the premarket. warehouse retailer earned 95 cents a share in the first fiscal quarter. revenue, profit margins beating forecasts helped by rising sales. those higher membership fees did hike fees a year ago november, which doesn't happen very often. the journal today says, model looks great. the business is great. the stock is just -- people want to pay a lot of money for it, jim. >> oh, yeah, costco, those are remarkable numbers. i know you did an excellent special on coastco and it seems like the execution was impressive. people want to go there. >> as gas prices come down, that helps them, given they make it a bit of a loss leader. valuation rich for your blood. >> when you go to buy a house, you see kirkland more than any other brand. you can say, jim, that's not even -- i mean, what percent -- i
italy? >> the good old days. spain was borrowing at 7%. >> germany went to the five-year high. we could have that, too. unlike them, our economy is not in tatters. they go five-year high on tatters. audi, good car. >> yes. good car. >> meantime, shares of costco this morning up in the premarket. warehouse retailer earned 95 cents a share in the first fiscal quarter. revenue, profit margins beating forecasts helped by rising sales. those higher membership fees did hike...
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Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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. >> remember yesterday and all that concern we had about where italy might go with the resignation of mario monti. greece is higher. por sh gal is higher. spain is higher. it's a good day for -- investor sentiment.strongly it was revealed today. optimism over what the fed is going to do in the united states tomorrow. optimism there will be a deal on the fiscal cliff. you have optimism that the recapitalization of the banks is going to be delayed by another year according to the bank of italy. and you have optimism as well on mar of election promises as we now face the pros wekt of a much earlier election in italy. to that end it is fascinating. sylvia berlusconi has come out today warning about the germano center of politics. in other words, too much of a focus on what is happening from germany and the austerity inspired by angela merkel. in particular, he is drawing attention to this. which is the spread of the extra that investors demand to hold italian bonds over german bonds. i've shown this to you a couple times. over the last year it's been a mainstay of a lot of the italian bus
. >> remember yesterday and all that concern we had about where italy might go with the resignation of mario monti. greece is higher. por sh gal is higher. spain is higher. it's a good day for -- investor sentiment.strongly it was revealed today. optimism over what the fed is going to do in the united states tomorrow. optimism there will be a deal on the fiscal cliff. you have optimism that the recapitalization of the banks is going to be delayed by another year according to the bank of...
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Dec 17, 2012
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a lot in italy. >> it's an all-italian version of the european close right now, carl. mario monti, contrary to reports last week that he did not want to run for prime minister again, we now hear he's undecided, and may actually run for p.m. of the country. right now he serves technocratically. there's expected to be an election early next year, maybe in february or in march. he has told reporters that he's considering it. the cabinet member he spoke with earlier in the week said he's going to make an announcement sometime this week on television. when asked by reporters about his recent visit to the tomb of saint francis he said he did, indeed, pray there to help him make a decision about whether or not to run. a man eagerly awaiting monti's decision is silvio berlusconi, the former prime minister of italy. we're pretty sure he has not prayed at the tomb of st. francis lately. he has said that he devil wants to be run for prime minister again however at the same time he's also made noises that suggest that he wouldn't run if monti runs. that's not set in stone. we're g
a lot in italy. >> it's an all-italian version of the european close right now, carl. mario monti, contrary to reports last week that he did not want to run for prime minister again, we now hear he's undecided, and may actually run for p.m. of the country. right now he serves technocratically. there's expected to be an election early next year, maybe in february or in march. he has told reporters that he's considering it. the cabinet member he spoke with earlier in the week said he's...
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Dec 18, 2012
12/12
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we know that the ecb stands ready with unlimited support for spain and italy, when and if they sign on to oversight agreements. these are huge dramatic changes. think about how many times we've agonized over where the money would come from for bailing out spain and italy. now we know. when they sign on to oversight. >> the point is we know -- we know what the policy response already is by the ecb and the feds. so what is going to be the next catalyst to keep the markets to those new highs you're talking about? >> the next big catalyst is obviously the fiscal cliff resolution, second, you have spain sign on to oversight from the ecb. remove any possibility of spanish default and we think that lagarde is signaling that the conditions to that oversight will be a lot about labor market reforms. those are growth enhancing, so that's another great catalyst for the market. last, but certainly not least, i think you could see the new leadership team in china come more aggressive reform program than people are expecting. >> all right. michael, good to have you. >> thank you so much. >> michael
we know that the ecb stands ready with unlimited support for spain and italy, when and if they sign on to oversight agreements. these are huge dramatic changes. think about how many times we've agonized over where the money would come from for bailing out spain and italy. now we know. when they sign on to oversight. >> the point is we know -- we know what the policy response already is by the ecb and the feds. so what is going to be the next catalyst to keep the markets to those new highs...
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Dec 13, 2012
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italy. it meant a lot of firings. he says i see what we are going to do follow these countries that have fiscal responsibility a lot of people are going to be fired. don't worry, i'm going to do my best. what what are you going to do to keep people employed? >> keeping the heat on congress, came up a number of times, of course energy the press conference that followed the fed announcement but unclear what impact it will have. >> and as far as ben bernanke can do only so much he can do we all know the market's addition to the additional stimulus and the more -- increased transparency in terms of what the fed is going to target in the future, that causes the stocks to go up for maybe an hour's worth of time and then resume trading as if nothing happened. >> in the years i have been following the fed there is always a strange dichotomy, seems like the market initially gets everything wrong. but what i have always felt, in the end, we take solace, if the fed says things are getting better we get nervous. say things are --
italy. it meant a lot of firings. he says i see what we are going to do follow these countries that have fiscal responsibility a lot of people are going to be fired. don't worry, i'm going to do my best. what what are you going to do to keep people employed? >> keeping the heat on congress, came up a number of times, of course energy the press conference that followed the fed announcement but unclear what impact it will have. >> and as far as ben bernanke can do only so much he can...
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Dec 4, 2012
12/12
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it's also true of italy. there the yields are down. take a look at where we are on the ten year, 4.4% and those bonds rise in value, you see the italian banks, for example, rising in value. the stock market, it's obvious the value of their assets is gaining ground. other financials around europe, the likes of kbc, bank of ireland, a lot of questions to the degree the irish can get better terms for their bailout or deal as a result of what the greeks have been given. there is -- and carl mentioned this, one area of concern today, and that's the finance minister's meeting where the frie french and the germans seem at odds over how they're going to get banking union, the germans are saying it cannot -- the individual banks cannot all be controlled by the ecb, the french saying, yes, they should be. that's the german finance minister. they are very split. they will try to hammer out a deal again middle of next weak. we're close now to the summit, the full heads of state summit. by then they should have a banking deal. what's interesting is
it's also true of italy. there the yields are down. take a look at where we are on the ten year, 4.4% and those bonds rise in value, you see the italian banks, for example, rising in value. the stock market, it's obvious the value of their assets is gaining ground. other financials around europe, the likes of kbc, bank of ireland, a lot of questions to the degree the irish can get better terms for their bailout or deal as a result of what the greeks have been given. there is -- and carl...